The HS2 effect
Our look at the possible effect of the high speed rail link on Yorkshire towns and cities January 24, 2020
The cost of HS2 is now estimated to be much more than the originally estimated £56bn. It is officially put at between £65bn and £88bn at 2015 prices in official figures and is possibly as much as a recently reported £106bn. The value of a high speed railway to the vast Yorkshire region with its many population centres therefore continues to come under scrutiny. That now includes a government review and a decision on whether work will proceed on the scheme is expected soon.
The HS2 plan is to build a high-speed railway from London to Birmingham, then, subject to Government approval, create a Y-shape of northern links from Birmingham to Manchester and Birmingham to Leeds. Initially this was set for completion by 2033, but now has a completion time between 2036 and 2040 for the northern arms.
The design of HS2, however, quite obviously bypasses and fails to provide any useful junctions or stations for most major towns and cities in Yorkshire and many believe HS2 with its limited connectivity is an expensive luxury item, or even a 'white elephant'. This is especially the case when considering the practicalities of having to catch commuter trains to reach one of the very few Yorkshire stations where you can catch an HS2 service in the first place.
Many have spoken out for spending to be prioritised on better commuter railways to ease Yorkshire's congestion hotspots. They have stated a need for better trains with more seats and more stations and upgraded tracks. Some areas now congested with road traffic have even called for reopening of some lines and town stations closed in the Beeching cuts of the 1960s.
The audience for the premium HS2 line is potentially further narrowed by the likelihood of higher fares than existing, sometimes more direct, if slightly slower, journeys.
For the first time, a new Yorkshire.guide study has assessed individual cities and major towns throughout the Yorkshire region, calculating the expected time benefits HS2 will bring when the proposed section from the Midlands to Leeds is complete in 2033. It assumes that by that time HS2 will have been built from London to Birmingham and already extended from Birmingham to Manchester.
If built, the travelling public will be the ultimate judges of whether HS2 represents value for money. It would, however, be a significant failing if only then it was discovered that Yorkshire people were not prepared to pay a premium price just to save, at most, 45 minutes on journeys to London; or that Yorkshire people weren't prepared to start out on congested commuter trains and have to change trains or even stations just to save a few minutes over a slightly slower direct service; or that dead-end stations in London and Birmingham are not the only places Yorkshire people want to travel to.
Where could you travel using HS2? See


Takes the same time or longer than an existing service or saves less than 10 minutes while now causing a change of trains.

Saves 10 to 45 minutes. Time for a cup of coffee at your destination rather than on the train?

Saves 45 minutes or more on the existing service, getting you to that all-important London meeting in good time.
Here's our view of the HS2 effect for cities and major towns



Barnsley
Although offering less of a time saving than the originally planned HS2 station at Meadowhall, changing to HS2 at Sheffield will shave around 40 minutes off the fastest feasible time to London at present.


Bradford
HS2 would potentially cut 41 minutes from the fastest journeys to London from the city if catching the fastest train to Leeds and finding a perfectly timed connection there. It would, however, involve taking the standard service to Leeds and changing platforms, whereas direct services to London are available from Bradford stations at present. 


Doncaster
While HS2 will now be routed through the Doncaster metropolitan district, no station or link between HS2 and East Coast Main Line is planned there. Even after HS2 is built through the area, the existing East Coast Main Line will continue to offer the fastest route from Doncaster to London.


Halifax
Halifax falls into the 'white elephant' category for the Leeds arm of HS2 only on the basis HS2 will be built first to Manchester. Travelling via HS2 at Leeds would then shave less than 10 minutes off the time of travelling via HS2 from Manchester.


Harrogate
While Harrogate does have some services through to London at present, catching the commuter train into Leeds and walking to a ready to depart train at the HS2 platform would potentially save 38 to 42 minutes off current best journey times.


Huddersfield
While HS2 should speed up connections to and from Huddersfield, it falls into the white elephant category here on the basis HS2 will be built first to Manchester. After that, the journey via the Leeds arm of HS2 would be slightly longer.


Leeds
The fastest HS2 journeys could be as little as 1hr 21min. The higher route mileage to London may be a small price to pay, but faster running and no other town or city centre stations on the way does mean a saving of 38 minutes on the current fastest train*. If not starting your journey in Leeds city centre itself, however, some of the gain may be lost with the longer walk from connecting trains to change platform at a new station in Leeds. Also trains will arrive at Euston rather than at King's Cross.


Middlesbrough
Changing at York, there would potentially be a 29min time saving to London on the faster but longer route mileage of HS2.


Rotherham
Although offering less of a time saving than the originally planned HS2 station at Meadowhall, if there is a perfectly timed connection to HS2 at Sheffield around 36 minutes would be cut from the time of the current fastest journey changing at Doncaster. The projected HS2 time is based on the fastest train from Rotherham to connect at Sheffield rather than slower tram journeys.


Scarborough
There would potentially be a 29min time saving to London changing at York to the fastest train on the HS2 route compared with the current fastest East Coast Main Line trains.


Selby
Even the fastest trains offering a perfect connection to HS2 at either Leeds or York will shave only 6 or 7 minutes off the current fastest journey times with the added effort of a change of trains. At most times the HS2 journey would take longer than the existing service.


Sheffield
Although the HS2 journey from Sheffield, rather than the originally planned Meadowhall, would operate over conventional lines via Chesterfield in Derbyshire before joining the high speed track it is estimated it will shave 40 minutes off current fastest journeys to London with a fastest HS2 time now set at 1hr 27min.


Wakefield
The HS2 tracks from London could easily have been designed to join existing tracks south of Wakefield to allow HS2 trains to stop in the city before continuing to the present Leeds station. Instead an expensive and controversial HS2 by-pass has been planned around Wakefield, leaving the city without any HS2 station, while a new HS2 station is planned in Leeds. In terms of HS2 travel into Leeds, the by-pass saves around five minutes travel time between a point at Crofton, south of Wakefield, where HS2 would bridge the existing tracks it could have joined. But the new terminus station in Leeds would potentially mean an extra five minutes walking time to the platforms. The journey time saving in bypassing Wakefield is potentially lost on the walk time between platforms for onward travel.Wakefield therefore faces travelling north to Leeds to change to HS2 to travel south again. This will not offer any significant time saving over the present service. The very best connection time would save 3 minutes at most and would mean extra hassle of changing trains and almost certainly additional costs related to the longer journey. Continuing to use the existing service may not be an option, however. With HS2 in place it seems unlikely that the existing service would continue at its present frequency.
Travelling south from Wakefield to catch HS2 at Sheffield would mean even longer journey times than at present.



York
With a branch of the HS2 track to Leeds also stretching out towards lines into York, there would be a 29min time saving on the fastest HS2 trains from York compared with the fastest train to London on the East Coast Main Line at present albeit with a longer route mileage and, therefore, possibly higher fares. The fastest HS2 time would be around 1hr 24min.